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Dubai shopping retail mall

Local retailers have edge in frontier markets

Growing retail markets in Africa and parts of the Middle East carry vast potential for retailers, if they can manage to break into them. In much of the developing world, demand for high-quality, typically western, consumer products has increased. In many African and Middle Eastern cities, malls that sell designer brands are thriving. But international […]

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political risk storm

Why corporate culture needs risk literacy

Risk can be calculated with at least fair amount of confidence. Uncertainty cannot. Therein lies confusion. It is important to recognize the distinction between two fundamental but closely related concepts in risk analysis – the difference between uncertainty and risk. Trouble ensures when companies and organizations fail to develop a clear understanding of the nature […]

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How will the Fed normalize monetary policy post-taper?

As the Federal Reserve continues to reduce the pace of asset purchases, attention has turned to the impending rise in interest rates. But to control short-term rates, the Fed will need to rely on new tools. Ever since the Federal Reserve pushed interest rates down to effectively zero, the central bank has relied on large-scale […]

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Source: Wikimedia Commons

3 reasons economists keep forecasting growth wrong

The Fed and IMF again downgraded US growth projections, as they have done repeatedly for the last five years. When the Federal Reserve and the IMF downgraded their forecasts for the US’ growth in 2014 last week, both bodies pointed to the terrible winter weather (that brought the term ‘Polar Vortex’ into the nation’s vocabulary) […]

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Iran-South America trade suffers as relations thaw with the West

Iran’s relations with South America under former president Ahmadinejad now face a decline in economic cooperation, as Iran mends its ties with the United States. Will improved relations between Iran and the West have economic consequences for South America?  As attention turns to Iran’s tentative cooperation with its geopolitical rival, the United States, in efforts to combat […]

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Narendra Modi; Source: http://indiainsidenews.org/narendra-modi-is-not-pm-as-yet-but-let-take-a-look-at-his-possible-cabinet-ministers/1360

3 good investments in Modi’s India

What will be the economic impact of Narenda Modi’s election as prime minister of India? On June 11, 2014, Narendra Modi delivered his first speech as prime minister of India in the Lok. The first member of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to hold the post in a decade and with a fairly resounding win […]

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Source: www.ibpcdubai.com

Compliance risks challenge business in the Middle East

Some markets have avoided rigid laws and regulations as a comparative advantage. But that has changed lately. Compliance has gained in importance worldwide as laws approved in one corner of the world can affect distant markets. The Middle East is no exception. The Middle East may not be a very stable region, but some of its countries […]

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Sino-Russian gas deal: Alliance or partnership?

Does the recent gas deal between Russia and China signal a broader geopolitical alliance between the two countries, or is it simply an economic partnership? The recent announcement of a massive $400 billion gas deal between Russia and China has rightly been taken as part of a Russian pivot eastward, alongside increasing joint military exercises […]

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rajan India central bank

Modi and Rajan face uphill battle with India’s growth and inflation

Given the potential conflict between Narendra Modi’s focus on growth and the Reserve Bank of India President Raghuram Rajan’s goal to curb inflation, both will need to work together to ensure a stable India. In the run up to Narendra Modi’s smashing victory in the Indian elections, rumors spread that the governor of the Reserve […]

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Port of Antwerp; Source: BetacommandBot via Wikimedia Commons

EU-India trade agreement stalled by EU politics

The EU and India have negotiated an ambitious free trade agreement since 2007. Yet, an early conclusion of the agreement is highly unlikely as Brussels is in crisis mode.  India and the European Union agreed in 2004 to elevate their ties to the status of a strategic partnership that promised mutual cooperation on a range of issues. […]

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